This Is Where Trump's Getting His Venezuelan Gang Info
A little-noticed report revealed where Trump's getting intel from to deploy the Alien Enemies Act
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Much of the focus on Pres. Donald Trump’s campaign to remove alleged Venezuelan gang members from the U.S. has been on the mistakes: The innocents affected and the risible, amateur methodology behind it. All of which is concerning and damning, of course.
But there’s virtual silence about the central factual claim undergirding Trump’s actions and about his willingness to draw on intel that his own agencies dispute. Last month, a little-noticed report revealed that Trump’s relying on unofficial sources that may be conflicted and/or politically motivated.
The dynamic offers close parallels to the run-up to the invasion of Iraq: An administration using questionable info to leverage extraordinary powers.
As the Bush administration did, the Trump administration is ignoring real intelligence, elevating bogus intelligence to create a threat, and ginning up a casus belli. Except this time the war has been declared here.
And this time, we have a much earlier jump on the source of that info. But few seem to be paying attention.
Last week, the Supreme Court said that Trump can use the Alien Enemies Act to remove accused members of Tren de Aragua (TdA) if the detainees get a chance to dispute their membership. Trump first claimed that power in a March 15 proclamation.
It’s an extraordinary power rarely claimed, and never before in peacetime. Its current use expands the predicates for its use beyond precedent and the original intent.
Trump’s assertions in that proclamation were based on, yes, faulty intelligence. But also, faulty intelligence that may have been ginned up and/or cherry-picked precisely because it could push Trump to act.
In a story posted March 20 and updated March 22, Charlie Savage and Julian E. Barnes of the New York Times revealed that most U.S. intelligence agencies disagreed with the claims Trump made, and had “moderate” confidence that they were false.
Specifically, Trump claimed that Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is running criminal gangs and sending them to the U.S. to wage war on us:
“Maduro leads the regime-sponsored enterprise Cártel de los Soles, which coordinates with and relies on TdA…
“TdA is undertaking hostile actions and conducting irregular warfare against the territory of the United States both directly and at the direction, clandestine or otherwise, of the Maduro regime…”
As Savage and Barnes revealed, the U.S. intelligence community — prior to Trump’s proclamation — circulated a document reporting “moderate” confidence that Tren de Aragua was neither run by the Venezuelan government nor committing crimes at the regime’s behest.
Trump ignored the document’s findings, which were produced by agencies run by his own appointees.
The FBI was the only agency to dissent from the document, and only partially, arguing that TdA has connections to the Maduro government. That FBI finding1 was based on information the other agencies found not credible.
As one official told the Times, the existence of individual corrupt officials with ties to TdA doesn’t prove a formal connection. (To give an analogy, it’s like claiming the U.S. government was mob-run because some FBI agents took Mafia payoffs.)
Trump’s intelligence officials concluded that Tren de Aragua lack the resources and organization to carry out Venezuelan government orders.
In fact, just as Iraq was found to be at odds with al Qaeda, Trump’s own intelligence community reported that Tren de Aragua has had gunfights with Venezuelan government security forces. A Maduro minister applauded when the U.S. State Department in February designated Tren de Aragua a terrorist organization2.
The most specific evidence Trump could muster was a Maduro government official from the Aragua area who held office as Tren de Aragua grew. As the Times noted, Trump omitted the fact that the official is no longer in Maduro’s government and is now facing corruption charges.
The best the White House could do for a response to the Times’s reporting was to tell the Times, “Multiple intelligence assessments are prepared on issues for a variety of reasons.” Which is, of course, entirely non-responsive to the substance and point of the Times’s revelations.
But the credibility of the link to Maduro is vital to Trump’s claim to power. As the Times notes, the Alien Enemies Act bestows its extraordinary deportation powers — or renditions, when detainees are sent elsewhere, such as El Salvador — only when a foreign government is involved.
No Maduro link means no Alien Enemies Act which means no extraordinary renditions.
So where did Trump get the intel to make the Maduro link?
The day after the Times story was published, the Miami Herald ran a story about the origins of Trump’s intel. As far as I can tell, no one’s yet connected the dots between the Herald’s revelations of Trump’s intel sources and what the Times exposed about Trump’s shoddy, Iraq-quality intel.
The Herald story was largely if not entirely ignored by corporate media. But it revealed some extremely important information.
According to the Herald, prior to Trump’s Jan. 20, 2025, inauguration, unnamed members of his transition got a presentation from an investigative team of former Venezuelan and U.S. officials about Tren de Aragua.
This investigative team has continued to meet with “high-ranking” Trump officials, the Herald reported. The administration has been relying on the team’s intel to hunt TdA members since day one.
The team has provided the Trump administration with supposed evidence of Maduro ties to Tren de Aragua, along with hundreds of names and photographs, which federal officials have been using in their hunt.
The team claims that the Maduro regime plans to send a total of 5,000 gang members here. The 1,800 already said to be here include 300 who received paramilitary training in Venezuela, the team says.
“They put these 300 guys through that course and … were deploying them into the United States to 20 locations, to 20 separate states,” Gary Berntsen, the only team member identified by name, told the Herald.
Venezuelan intelligence services, the team says, gave hundreds of Tren de Aragua members money and logistical support to get into the U.S.
So far, a member of the team told the Herald, records they gave the Trump administration have led to 800 arrests here of alleged Venezuelan gang members.
But NPR reports that Tren de Aragua activity has occurred mostly in just five states: Colorado, Florida, Illinois, New York, and Texas. Aurora, CO, the city supposedly run by Tren de Aragua, has only about a dozen members there, local police say.
Even beyond official pushback to the investigative team’s findings, there are questions about the team itself.
For one thing, the former Venezuelan government officials on the team sound a lot like the Bush administration’s Iraqi intel sources; former office-holders now on the outs who hope to regain power if the new regime is ousted. Prior to the Iraq war, such sources had every motive for getting the U.S. to take out Saddam Hussein.
And the former American officials on this investigative team? The Herald describes them as having “deep connections to police and intelligence” in Venezuela. Without more info, we can’t know whether the American investigators — or their sources — might be motivated by ambition or rivalries within the Maduro regime.
In fairness, any source worth having is likely to have a potential conflict of interest, but the point here is that we don’t know. And, again, even the Trump intelligence community rejects their findings.
But let’s look at the one team member whose identity we do know. That’d be Gary Berntsen.
The Herald describes him as “a decorated former CIA station chief who headed the agency’s unit searching for Osama Bin Laden in Afghanistan.”
Which is true, but doesn’t tell us much about what Berntsen’s done in the two decades since Tora Bora. His company’s website, active at least through early 2023, says,
The Berntsen Group offers, on a global basis, timely, accurate and reliable investigative and security services. Our U.S. domestic staff consist of highly trained former senior U.S. intelligence and federal law enforcement personnel. Former foreign law enforcement, military officers and justice ministry personnel augment our services in offshore operations.
In 2013, Berntsen ran for Senate in New York, failing to win the Republican nomination to challenge Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY).
Berntsen was a Tea Party candidate. He campaigned on the threat of illegal immigration.
Nevertheless, it was the deficit, Berntsen said in 2013, that constituted “the gravest danger we have been in since World War II.”
None of which tells us whether Berntsen’s intel now is credible. But it doesn’t have to be to help the cause by providing enough fodder to defend Trump’s stance or at least muddy the waters, giving cover for proclamations and judicial rulings.
Sure enough, last month a right-wing site published an in-your-face-NYT piece citing the Herald’s reporting as proof of Maduro ties to TdA. The site is literally sponsored by the John Birch Society.
Ed. note: This article has been cross-posted by Cliff Schecter’s Blue Amp Substack, which you can check out and subscribe to here. It originally appeared in slightly different form at my other Substack, TFN.
I’m a veteran journalist and TV news producer who’s worked at MSNBC, CNN, ABCNews, The Daily Show, Air America Radio, and TYT. You can support my reporting with a donation or paid subscription. Thank you.
Trump loyalist Kash Patel was sworn in as FBI director on Feb. 21, 2025.
The Times notes that this was unprecedented, as previous designations only targeted groups motivated by specific ideologies.
Whoa. Jonathan, thanks so much for detailing the truth behind the deplorable, unacceptable arbitrary round up of humans by unethical, unqualified and corrupt thugs. So many lives have been disrupted and I fear, destroyed by the Mump Oligarchy. I appreciate your work, your voice immensely.
This reporting reminds me of Mother Jones Magazine, and yes, I’m that old
Really appreciate the clarity and discipline in avoiding assertion of opinion
Get the F out of your brand name, and I might start paying for the privilege of reading your work
Just saying